| | Wolemba Richard Ahern - Kusokonezedwa ndi mavoti osiyanasiyana? Tasefa m'zinyalala kuti tiwulule zambiri za yemwe adzapambane zisankho za 2024 ngati zichitika lero.
Chisankho chatsopano chimatuluka tsiku lililonse, nthawi zambiri chimatsutsana ndi zomwe zisanachitike, ndipo atolankhani ali ndi chizolowezi chosankha zomwe zimagwirizana ndi zomwe akufuna.
Tataya kafukufuku wokondera woperekedwa ndi mabungwe andale, tataya zisankho zomwe zimagwiritsa ntchito zitsanzo zosagwirizana ndi anthu, ndipo tangogwiritsa ntchito mfundo zochokera ku ovotera adavotera "B" ndi pamwamba.
Nazi zomwe tapeza:
Kumbali ya Democrat, zikuwoneka kuti a Joe Biden adzayimbanso nthawi yachiwiri ngakhale ali ndi zaka zopitilira 80 ndikuwonetsa kuchepa kwamaganizo. Otsatira ena omwe angakhale a demokalase sanaganiziridwe kwambiri pamafukufuku ambiri, kusiya wachiwiri kwa Purezidenti Kamala Harris ngati njira yokhayo yomwe ingatheke.
Otsatira ena a Democrat monga a Hilary Clinton ndi Bernie Sanders amavota movutikira kwambiri atapikisana ndi Biden kapena Harris. Mwachitsanzo, mwa akulu 891 omwe adafunsidwa, Harris adapeza mfundo 11 kuposa Clinton, koma kafukufuku wina adawonetsa kuti Biden adagwetsa Harris 41% -12%.
Pokhapokha atha kupangitsa Purezidenti Biden kukhala wogalamuka komanso wowongoka, ndiye mwayi wabwino kwambiri womwe ma Democrat ali nawo osasunga utsogoleri.
Kumbali ya Republican, ndizosangalatsa kwambiri pomwe ofuna kusankha angapo akuponya zipewa zawo mu mphete. Komabe, zenizeni ndi mpikisano wa amuna awiri pakati pa Purezidenti wakale, a Donald Trump, ndi kazembe wapano waku Florida Ron DeSantis.
Ron DeSantis wangotsimikizira cholinga chake chothamangira poyambitsa kampeni yake ndi zokambirana ndi Elon Musk zomwe zidalembedwa pa Twitter Spaces. Tsoka ilo, chochitikacho chidakumana ndi zovuta zaukadaulo, pomwe ma audio ndi kulumikizana zidasiya kangapo. Chiyambireni chochitikacho, DeSantis tsopano zambiri zosasangalatsa (41.1%) kuposa zabwino (41%).
Chaka chatha DeSantis anali kuvota bwino - mavoti ena adawonetsa kuti anali wotchuka kwambiri kuposa a Donald Trump.
Malingaliro amenewo asintha mwachangu:
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Mavoti oyambirira a Republican
Trump vs DeSantis 2024 poll
Kafukufuku waposachedwapa amasonyeza zimenezo lipenga ndiye wotsogola waku Republican, pomwe DeSantis idataya mtima kampeni isanayambe. Zovota zadziko tsopano zikuwonetsa kusiyana kwakukulu pakati pawo Trump ndi DeSantis, pomwe a Trump adapeza zoposa 50% ndipo DeSantis ikumira mpaka pafupifupi 20%.
Zokhumudwitsa ma Democrats, milandu yaposachedwa yolimbana ndi a Donald Trump yangolimbitsa chithandizo chake pagulu. M'malingaliro a ovota, milandu yakhothi imatsimikiziranso zikhulupiriro zawo kuti a Trump ndi omwe adasakasaka mfiti.
Chivomerezo cha a Trump chidakwera kwambiri atalamulira a CNN town hall, kumene adawonekera mu mawonekedwe apamwamba - zosiyana kwambiri ndi pulezidenti wamakono. Chochitika chawailesi yakanema cha ola limodzi chikuwonetsa kuti Purezidenti wakale akadali wotchuka ndi ovota aku Republican, ndipo khamu la anthu likusangalala ndikuseka nthawi yonseyi.
Kumbali ina, kutchuka kwa Bwanamkubwa waku Florida a Ron DeSantis ndi aku Republican kwatsika pang'onopang'ono, pomwe malipoti onena za mphamvu zake zochepa komanso kusowa kwa umunthu akulamulira mitu. Ovota amamva chimodzimodzi - Trump adapeza 9% apamwamba pomwe akulu adafunsidwa kuti ndani "wachikoka," malinga ndi YouGov.
Komabe, DeSantis wapeza chithandizo cha munthu wachiwiri wolemera kwambiri padziko lapansi, Elon Musk. Ngakhale Musk sanamuvomereze mwalamulo, adanenanso mwamphamvu.
Malipoti akuwonetsanso kuti DeSantis yapeza thumba lalikulu la kampeni pafupifupi $ 100 miliyoni, ndipo ndi CEO wa Twitter Elon Musk kumbali yake, thumbalo likhoza kukula mwachangu.
Pamapeto pake, ovota amakhala ndi mphamvu, ndipo poyerekeza mwachindunji ndi Trump, DeSantis akuwoneka kuti ndi wotayika.
Kafukufuku waposachedwa kwambiri wa Economist adawonetsa a Trump akulamulira DeSantis ndi 32 peresenti ya pulaimale yaku Republican. Momwemonso, kafukufuku waposachedwa kuchokera ku Morning Consult adawonetsa Trump akutsogolera DeSantis ndi 38%.
Kumapeto kwa chaka chatha, zotsatira zake zinali zolimba kwambiri, mavoti ena akuwonetsa DeSantis akutsogolera. Mwachitsanzo, kafukufuku wa Suffolk University adawonetsa DeSantis akutsogolera Trump ndi 23%, ndipo The Economist ndi YouGov adamupangitsa kuti atsogolere Purezidenti wakale ndi 8%.
Koma si nkhani yonseyi:
2024 zisankho zapurezidenti
Zovotazo zimangowonetsa yemwe angapambane pulayimale yaku Republican - nanga bwanji zenizeni chisankho cha pulezidenti? Kungoganiza kuti Joe Biden ikuyenda, DeSantis akuwoneka kuti ndiye wopambana - koma pang'ono pang'ono.
Ngakhale tsankho lakumanzere la zisankho zaku yunivesite, Yunivesite ya Quinnipiac inali ndi DeSantis yomwe idatsogolera Biden ndi 1% pachisankho chachikulu. Mosiyana ndi izi, kafukufuku yemweyo anali ndi Biden akutsogolera Trump ndi 2% ngati chisankho chinachitika lero, malinga ndi ovota olembetsa.
Ponseponse, zisankho zachisankho zikuwonetsa momveka bwino kuti America yagawika 50-50 - ziwerengero zili pafupi kwambiri. YouGov ili ndi Biden motsutsana ndi DeSantis chimodzimodzi koma imayika Trump pa 2% patsogolo pa purezidenti wapano.
Joe Biden adzakhala ndi zaka 82 mu 2024, komabe malinga ndi ovota, ndiye mwayi wabwino kwambiri womwe ma Democrat ali nawo kuti apambane nthawi ina. Chodabwitsa chisankho chomwe chinatchedwa Harris Poll chapangitsa Trump kukhala wamkulu wa Kamala Harris pachisankho chachikulu ndi 11 peresenti.
Ngati wachiwiri kwa purezidenti, Kamala Harris, athamangire paudindo, malinga ndi olembetsa olembetsa, ali ndi mwayi wotsutsana ndi Ron DeSantis, nthawi zambiri amavotera ngakhale kazembe waku Florida.
Mdani yekhayo yemwe Harris wapambana pamafukufuku ndi kazembe wakale waku South Carolina, Nikki Haley waku Republican - komabe Haley adavotera mosadukiza pansi pa 10% mu pulaimale yaku Republican.
Nayi mfundo yake:
Zambirizi zikuwonetsa kubwereza kwa 2024 pakati pa Biden ndi Trump, koma pakadali pano, America idagawika pakati. Manambalawa ali pafupi kwambiri sizingakhale zotheka kuitana wopambana panthawiyi. Malingaliro amenewo adzakhalabe okhazikika mpaka tsiku lachisankho - kutanthauza kuti voti iliyonse imawerengedwa!
Tikufuna thandizo LANU! Tikukubweretserani nkhani zosakambidwa za FREE, koma tikhoza kuchita izi chifukwa cha chithandizo cha owerenga okhulupirika monga INU! Ngati mumakhulupirira zaufulu wolankhula komanso kusangalala ndi nkhani zenizeni, chonde ganizirani kuthandizira ntchito yathu kukhala woyang'anira kapena popanga a chopereka kamodzi pano. 20% ya ZONSE ndalama zimaperekedwa kwa omenyera nkhondo!
Nkhaniyi ndi yotheka chifukwa cha zathu othandizira ndi othandizira!
Lowani nawo zokambirana!