Yambitsani chenjezo! Malingaliro ena omwe afotokozedwa m'nkhaniyi angakhumudwitse omenyera ufulu wa akazi!
MFUNDO-CHEKANI GUARANTEE (Zothandizira): [Lipoti la Official think tank: 1 gwero] [Ziwerengero zovomerezeka: 3 magwero] [Journal ya Maphunziro: 1 gwero] [Molunjika kuchokera kochokera: 1 gwero] [Webusaiti yodalirika komanso yodalirika: 1 gwero]
Bungwe loganiza zandale lapereka chenjezo lowopsa ku Britain lomwe lingakhudzenso dziko lonse lapansi.
Zanenedwa kuti UK ili pachiwopsezo chachuma chomwe chatenga nthawi yayitali chifukwa chakutsika kwachiwopsezo cha kubereka komwe kumabweretsa kuperewera kwa ana.
Gulu loganiza za ndale, ndi Social Market Foundation (SMF), adasindikiza lipoti lodabwitsa lomwe limafotokoza momwe kugwa kwachiwopsezo cha chonde kukhale ndi zotsatira zoyipa zachuma ku tsogolo la Britain kwanthawi yayitali.
Nayi mgwirizano:
Chiŵerengero cha chonde ku Britain ndi America chatsika kwambiri. Lipoti la UK likuwonetsa kuti mu 2020, chiwerengero chonse cha chonde (TFR), chomwe ndi chiwerengero cha ana pa mkazi aliyense tsopano chikuyima pa 1.58. Mosiyana ndi pambuyo pa Nkhondo Yachiwiri Yadziko Lonse pachimake cha ana a 2.93 pa mkazi aliyense.
The United States amawona zofanana kapena kukokomeza mkhalidwe ndi kuchuluka kwa chonde, TFR yamakono ili pafupi ndi ana 1.7 pa mkazi aliyense poyerekeza ndi TFR yoposa 3.6 mu 1960.
Nanga bwanji za kuchuluka kwa chonde padziko lonse lapansi?
Nkhawa zomwezo zikuwoneka kuti zikuwonekera padziko lonse lapansi, ndi kuchuluka kwa chonde padziko lonse lapansi Kupitilira kutsika - akukhulupilira kuti mayiko 23, kuphatikiza Spain ndi Japan, awona kuchuluka kwawo kukuchepa ndi 2100.
Ndiye kodi imeneyo si nkhani yabwino tikaganizira nkhani zonse zokhudza kuchulukana kwa anthu?
Osati kwenikweni.
Ku UK TFR yakhala pansi pa mtengo wosinthira wofunikira mwa ana 2.1, chiwerengero cha ana (omwe akukhalabe ndi moyo mpaka zaka 15) zomwe mayi akufunikira kuti alowe m'malo mwake ndi bwenzi lake atamwalira - makamaka mlingo woti chiwerengero cha anthu chikhale chokhazikika.
Chifukwa TFR ili pansi pa 2.1, dziko la UK liwona kuti chiwerengero cha anthu chikucheperachepera m'zaka za zana la 21, poganiza kuti anthu othawa kwawo komanso zaka za moyo zimakhala zokhazikika.
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Lipotilo likuchenjeza kuti a United Kingdom Atha kukumana ndi kuchepa kwa nthawi yayitali kwa ogwira ntchito pomwe chiŵerengero cha anthu opitilira 65s kwa akuluakulu azaka zogwira ntchito chidzakwera. Pofika chaka cha 2050, gawo limodzi mwa magawo anayi a anthu ku UK adzakhala atatha zaka 65 ndipo mwina apuma pantchito!
Bungwe la SMF linati, "Kuphatikizika kwa chiwerengero chochepa cha anthu ogwira ntchito komanso gawo lalikulu lomwe likusowa thandizo lachuma kuli ndi zotsatira zoipa pazachuma".
Yankho lake?
"Liberal pronatalism!"
Tanki yoganiza ikulangiza kuti boma liganizire za ubwino wa "liberal pronatalism", zomwe zimalimbikitsa momveka bwino anthu kuti akhale ndi ana.
Izi zingaphatikizepo kupereka anthu omwe akufuna kukhala ndi ana ndi chithandizo chandalama zambiri komanso zolimbikitsa.
Chofunika kwambiri, vuto lalikulu la ndalama zothandizira ana ku UK zitha kuchepetsedwa kwa makolo ogwira ntchito. The OECD ikuyerekeza kuti makolo onse a ku Britain amawononga 22% ya ndalama zomwe amapeza posamalira ana nthawi zonse.
Ndalama zothandizira ana ndizokwera kwambiri ku UK poyerekeza ndi maiko ena akumadzulo ndipo pepalalo linanena kuti "pali mwayi wochuluka kuti boma likhudze chiwerengero cha ana obadwa kupyolera mu ndondomeko ya chisamaliro cha ana ku UK kusiyana ndi madera ena padziko lapansi kuyambira pa malo abwino. ndalama zolerera ana”.
Olembawo adatsimikiza kuti phindu lalikulu lolimbikitsa kukula kwa anthu ndi zachuma, kunena kuti, "Pamalingaliro omveka, kutsika kwa chonde kumachepetsedwa kuti achepetse anthu ogwira ntchito, kulepheretsa kufunikira komanso kusinthika kwapang'onopang'ono, kupondereza kukula kwa GDP komanso kukulitsa chuma chaboma".
SMF imanenanso kuti kuchepa kwa chiwerengero cha anthu kungathe kuthetsedwa ndi "ndondomeko za ufulu wa anthu othawa kwawo". Komabe, imeneyo ingakhale yankho lakanthawi kochepa poganizira kuti “chiŵerengero cha anthu chikucheperachepera kwina kulikonse padziko lapansi.”
Ndiye chikuchitika ndi chiyani!?
Vuto la kubereka nthawi zambiri limaganiziridwa kuti limachitika chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa amuna umuna padziko lonse lapansi. Zowonadi, kusanthula kwatsatanetsatane kwawonetsa kuchepa kwakukulu kwa kuchuluka kwa umuna mwa amuna ochokera ku North America, Europe, Australiandipo New Zealand pakati pa 1973 ndi 2011.
Komabe, pakadali pano, kuchepa kwa kuchuluka kwa umuna sikungakhudze kuchuluka kwa chonde, ngakhale ndizodetsa nkhawa.
Kutsika kwakukulu kwa chiwopsezo cha kubereka kukuganiziridwa kuti ndi chifukwa cha mwayi wochuluka wa kulera komanso amayi ambiri omwe amalowa ntchito kapena maphunziro.
Azimayi akusankha kukhala ndi ana ochepa ndipo m'malo mwake amatsatira ntchito zaumisiri.
Ndiloleni ndikhale wowona mtima mwankhanza:
Mwachidule, mwinanso motsutsana, gulu lachikazi la padziko lonse lapansi likuwoneka kuti likulepheretsa kukula kwa chiwerengero cha anthu ndipo pamapeto pake kupambana kwachuma!
Nkhani zambiri zapadziko lonse lapansi.
Tikufuna thandizo LANU! Tikukubweretserani nkhani zosakambidwa za FREE, koma tikhoza kuchita izi chifukwa cha chithandizo cha owerenga okhulupirika monga INU! Ngati mumakhulupirira zaufulu wolankhula komanso kusangalala ndi nkhani zenizeni, chonde ganizirani kuthandizira ntchito yathu kukhala woyang'anira kapena popanga a chopereka kamodzi pano. 20% ya ZONSE ndalama zimaperekedwa kwa omenyera nkhondo!
Nkhaniyi ndi yotheka chifukwa cha zathu othandizira ndi othandizira!
By Richard Ahern - LifeLine Media
Contact: Richard@lifeline.news
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Zolozera (Chitsimikizo-fufuzani)
1) Kuphulika kwa mwana ndi kuphulika kwa mwana: Kuwunika nkhani yaulere ya pronatalism: https://www.smf.co.uk/publications/baby-bust-and-baby-boom/ [Lipoti lovomerezeka]
2) Chiwerengero cha kubereka, chiwerengero (kubadwa kwa mkazi aliyense) - United States: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN?locations=US [Ziwerengero zovomerezeka]
3) Chiwerengero cha kubereka, chiwerengero (kubadwa kwa amayi): https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN [Ziwerengero zovomerezeka]
4) Kuchuluka kwa chonde: https://www.britannica.com/topic/fertility-rate [Webusaiti yapamwamba komanso yodalirika] {Kuwerenganso}
5) Ndalama zosamalira ana: https://data.oecd.org/benwage/net-childcare-costs.htm [Ziwerengero zovomerezeka]
6) "Kupereŵera kwa ana" kutha kutanthauza kusokonekera kwachuma ku UK: https://www.smf.co.uk/baby-shortage-could-spell-economic-stagnation-for-uk/ [Molunjika kuchokera kugwero]
7) Zomwe zimachitika pakanthawi kawerengedwe ka umuna: kuwunika mwadongosolo komanso kusanthula kwa meta-regression: https://academic.oup.com/humupd/article/23/6/646/4035689 [magazini yamaphunziro]
Lowani nawo zokambirana!
Tsamba lapamwamba lomwe muli nalo pano koma ndimafuna kudziwa ngati mumadziwa mabwalo okambilana a ogwiritsa ntchito omwe amaphimba mitu yomwe ikukambidwa pano? Ndikufuna kwambiri kukhala m'gulu lomwe ndingapeze malangizo kuchokera kwa anthu odziwa bwino omwe ali ndi chidwi chofanana. Ngati muli ndi malingaliro, chonde ndidziwitseni. Akudalitseni!